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NGE Rebuild: Asuka will have more screentime in 3.0 than in 2.0 (as measured by length in seconds of scenes involving her)

Created by gwern on 2011-10-07; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-11.

  • gwern estimated 40% on 2011-10-07
  • gwern said “see previous prediction, re CRC – and 3.0 looks like it will be very busy tooon 2011-10-07
  • Tuxedage estimated 50% on 2013-02-07
  • Tuxedage said “So. 3.0 is out. Does anyone have a few hours to spare to measure this?on 2013-05-08
  • themusicgod1 estimated 41% on 2016-05-10
  • themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-05-11.
  • themusicgod1 said “Feel free to count on your own to doublecheck. Here’s my count:2.0 → 19 minutes, 43.43 seconds +/-1.52 seconds3.0 → 16 minutes, 20.98 seconds +/-0.53 seconds on 2016-05-11