Chess will be a solved game in 50 years

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-07; known on 2061-10-07

• JoshuaZ estimated 60% on 2011-10-07
• JoshuaZ said “tags: [games][Go]” on 2011-10-07
• Sniffnoy estimated 20% on 2011-10-08
• Sniffnoy estimated 23% on 2011-10-08
• Robert Kosten estimated 30% on 2011-10-09
• gwern estimated 20% and said “solved as the entire game tree solved, in the same strong sense as checkers or tic-tac-toe? even with 50 years of computing power that doesn’t seem very feasible…” on 2011-10-12
• JoshuaZ said “Gwern, I meant solved in the weaker sense than checkers has been solved in which there’s a known winning strategy or forced tie strategy for one side. ” on 2011-10-12
• lavalamp estimated 10% and said “Even that sense of “solved” seems quite unlikely.” on 2011-11-10
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 52% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 70% on 2019-01-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 54% on 2019-01-01
• Baeboo estimated 50% on 2019-01-01
• amadeu estimated 20% on 2019-04-07