Chess will be a solved game in 50 years

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-07; known on 2061-10-07

  • JoshuaZ estimated 60% on 2011-10-07
  • JoshuaZ said “tags: [games][Go]on 2011-10-07
  • Sniffnoy estimated 20% on 2011-10-08
  • Sniffnoy estimated 23% on 2011-10-08
  • Robert Kosten estimated 30% on 2011-10-09
  • gwern estimated 20% and said “solved as the entire game tree solved, in the same strong sense as checkers or tic-tac-toe? even with 50 years of computing power that doesn’t seem very feasible…on 2011-10-12
  • JoshuaZ said “Gwern, I meant solved in the weaker sense than checkers has been solved in which there’s a known winning strategy or forced tie strategy for one side. on 2011-10-12
  • lavalamp estimated 10% and said “Even that sense of “solved” seems quite unlikely.on 2011-11-10
  • themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-09
  • JoshuaZ estimated 52% on 2016-10-09
  • pranomostro estimated 70% on 2019-01-01
  • JoshuaZ estimated 54% on 2019-01-01
  • Baeboo estimated 50% on 2019-01-01
  • amadeu estimated 20% on 2019-04-07

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