NGE Rebuild: Mari will not survive past the 50 minute mark in 3.0

Created by gwern on 2011-10-07; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-26.

• gwern estimated 20% on 2011-10-07
• gwern said “original: http://forum.evageeks.org/viewtopic.php?p=271747#271747” on 2011-10-07
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-26.