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NGE Rebuild: Mari is part-Russian or has connections to Russia

Created by gwern on 2011-10-07; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by eviscerator on 2021-08-14.

  • gwern estimated 10% on 2011-10-07
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2016-01-01on 2016-01-01
  • eviscerator   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-08-14.