NGE Rebuild: Mari is part-Russian or has connections to Russia
Created by gwern on 2011-10-07; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by eviscerator on 2021-08-14.
- gwern estimated 10% on 2011-10-07
- gwern changed the deadline from “on 2016-01-01” on 2016-01-01
- eviscerator judged this prediction wrong on 2021-08-14.