“No American Soap Operas by 2015” —Ken

Created by gwern on 2011-10-07; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2015-01-01.

• gwern estimated 25% on 2011-10-07
• gwern said “http://kennyrules.com/post/10555143012/no-american-soap-operas-by-2015-tv” on 2011-10-07
• gwern said “the quick check is to see whether his two examples, Young & the Restless or Bold and the Beautiful are still airing” on 2011-10-07
• Robert Kosten estimated 20% on 2011-10-09
• Anubhav estimated 5% on 2011-10-10
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 15% on 2011-10-12
• JoshuaZ estimated 20% on 2011-10-12
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-01.