“I predict that by 2020 Nike will be the only remaining sneaker company” —Whutsiznaim

Created by gwern on 2011-10-07; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2020-01-01.

• gwern estimated 20% on 2011-10-07
• gwern said “source: http://www.coolmarriedguy.com/2011/10/03/sneakers-i-dig-10311/” on 2011-10-07
• gwern said “http://askville.amazon.com/whats-top-sneaker-company/AnswerViewer.do?requestId=2249102 lists old competitors: Reebok, Adidas, Converse, New Balance” on 2011-10-07
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2011-10-07
• Sniffnoy estimated 6% on 2011-10-08
• Robert Kosten estimated 1% on 2011-10-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2011-10-09
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 1% on 2011-10-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 3% on 2016-02-21
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% and said “< 1%” on 2016-02-22
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “Short of thermonuclear war, no.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Athletic_shoe_brands” on 2016-02-22
• themusicgod1 estimated 36% on 2016-10-09
• two2thehead estimated 10% on 2016-10-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 4% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 1% on 2019-01-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2019-01-01
• Baeboo estimated 3% on 2019-01-01
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.