Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin will be inaugurated as President of Russia in 2012.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-10-10; known on 2012-12-31; judged right by Grrrr on 2012-12-31.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 95% on 2011-10-10
• Sniffnoy estimated 98% on 2011-10-10
• gwern said “This is one of the GJP questions, BTW.” on 2011-10-10
• Jayson Virissimo said “@gwern, if you type “putin” into the search field it comes up with zero hits. Is the search broken?” on 2011-10-10
• Jayson Virissimo said “If it is private, then that explains why it doesn’t show up under the search. I see that you are right that is is basically one of the GJP questions, but I got the idea from The Economist: http://www.economist.com/node/21531003” on 2011-10-10
• Robert Kosten estimated 70% on 2011-10-10
• Grrrr estimated 95% on 2011-10-14
• Serge estimated 65% and said “Don’t seem so obvious now” on 2011-12-06
• Grrrr   judged this prediction right on 2012-12-31.