The GDP per capita (PPP) of Hong Kong (judged by the IMF) will exceed that of the USA before 2013.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-10-10; known on 2012-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2012-12-31.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 75% on 2011-10-10
• Robert Kosten estimated 80% on 2011-10-10
• gwern said “by whose statistics? if you look at https://secure.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_%28PPP%29_per_capita they disagree about the rankings in the vicinity of the US – look at switzerland or andorra” on 2011-10-10
• Jayson Virissimo changed their prediction from “The GDP per capita (PPP) of Hong Kong will exceed that of the USA during before 2013.” on 2011-10-11
• Anubhav estimated 85% on 2011-10-11
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-12-31.