Satoshi Nakamoto is just Wei Dai and this is known before 2060

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2011-10-10; known on 2060-01-01

• PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2011-10-10
• PseudonymousUser said “his denial: http://www.scss.tcd.ie/~clearm/bitcoin.html (down right now)” on 2011-10-10
• PseudonymousUser said “Oops, ignore that last comment. Wrong prediction.” on 2011-10-10
• gwern estimated 25% on 2011-10-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 20% on 2011-10-10
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 50% on 2011-10-11
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 33% and said “Updated while being less tired.” on 2011-10-11
• Robert Kosten estimated 10% on 2011-10-11
• pcm estimated 25% on 2011-10-20
• lavalamp estimated 1% on 2011-11-10
• Grognor estimated 2% on 2011-12-06
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% and said “.” on 2014-04-07
• gwern estimated 10% on 2014-09-09
• gwern estimated 1% on 2015-11-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2015-11-15
• VincentYu estimated 1% on 2015-12-14
• VincentYu estimated 0% on 2015-12-16
• themusicgod1 estimated 8% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 5% on 2019-01-01
• deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-04-27
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% and said “Szabo and Finney. https://likeinamirror.wordpress.com/2013/12/01/satoshi-nakamoto-is-probably-nick-szabo/” on 2020-03-14