Satoshi Nakamoto is just Michael Clear and this is known before 2060

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2011-10-10; known on 2060-01-01

• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2011-10-10
• PseudonymousUser said “his denial: http://www.scss.tcd.ie/~clearm/bitcoin.html (down right now, see cache)” on 2011-10-10
• gwern estimated 1% and said “IMO, the base-rate for a random cryptographer / grad being satoshi is one in a few thousand, but the NYer does raise the probability a little…” on 2011-10-10
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 1% on 2011-10-11
• Anubhav estimated 1% on 2011-10-11
• Robert Kosten estimated 10% on 2011-10-11
• gwern estimated 0% on 2015-11-15
• themusicgod1 estimated 4% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 1% on 2019-01-01