The Prediction Book Wikipedia page will be tagged for deletion or deleted within 2 weeks.
- JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2011-10-11
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 75% on 2011-10-11
- gwern estimated 55% and said “there can be pretty long delays before someone gets around to tagging it if a NewPage patroller doesn’t get it immediately when it’s in that queue” on 2011-10-11
- Robert Kosten estimated 50% on 2011-10-11
- Jayson Virissimo judged this prediction right on 2011-10-12.
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