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Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-11; known on 2011-10-26; judged right by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-10-12.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2011-10-11
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 75% on 2011-10-11
  • gwern estimated 55% and said “there can be pretty long delays before someone gets around to tagging it if a NewPage patroller doesn’t get it immediately when it’s in that queueon 2011-10-11
  • Robert Kosten estimated 50% on 2011-10-11
  • Jayson Virissimo   judged this prediction right on 2011-10-12.

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