“S&P will announce before 1 July 2013 a downgrade of its France sovereign rating.”

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-10-11; known on 2013-07-01; judged right by eagleclaw6 on 2013-11-20.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 70% on 2011-10-11
• gwern estimated 50% on 2011-10-11
• Robert Kosten estimated 60% on 2011-10-11
• Metus estimated 50% on 2011-10-17
• fergus estimated 50% on 2011-10-22
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 90% on 2011-10-26
• RandomThinker said “France just got downgraded from AA+ to AA. http://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/09/business/international/standard-poors-downgrades-france.html” on 2013-11-19
• RandomThinker said “Before that it was Jan 2012. http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/14/us-eurozone-sp-idUSTRE80C1BC20120114” on 2013-11-19
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction right on 2013-11-19.
• eagleclaw6   judged this prediction unknown on 2013-11-20.
• eagleclaw6   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-11-20.
• eagleclaw6   judged this prediction right on 2013-11-20.