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Created by gwern on 2011-10-11; known on 2013-10-11; judged right by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-10-12.

  • gwern estimated 95% on 2011-10-11
  • Robert Kosten estimated 90% on 2011-10-11
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 95% on 2011-10-12
  • JoshuaZ estimated 85% and said “Not much higher than the one year, because if it extends out to two years then more likely will have extended to meeting WP:WEB. on 2011-10-12
  • Jayson Virissimo   judged this prediction right on 2011-10-12.

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