BMNDR will nontrivially improve my study habits by October 31st.

Created by Codyz on 2011-10-12; known on 2011-10-31; judged wrong by Codyz on 2011-11-04.

  • Codyz estimated 60% on 2011-10-12
  • gwern estimated 65% and said “hawthorne effect if nothing elseon 2011-10-12
  • Codyz   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-11-04.
  • Daniel Reeves said “Looks like you created this prediction the day after Beeminder opened to the public.I’ll make a hefty wager with you that it will change your study habits if you try it again now, if you do it with a commitment contract.on 2011-11-29

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