BMNDR will nontrivially improve my study habits by October 31st.
Created by Codyz on 2011-10-12; known on 2011-10-31; judged wrong by Codyz on 2011-11-04.
- Codyz estimated 60% on 2011-10-12
- gwern estimated 65% and said “hawthorne effect if nothing else” on 2011-10-12
- Codyz judged this prediction wrong on 2011-11-04.
- Daniel Reeves said “Looks like you created this prediction the day after Beeminder opened to the public.I’ll make a hefty wager with you that it will change your study habits if you try it again now, if you do it with a commitment contract.” on 2011-11-29