Firefox's latest stable version number will at least double in 2012

Created by slikts on 2011-10-13; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by stephenh on 2012-12-13.

• slikts estimated 80% on 2011-10-13
• gwern estimated 50% and said “FF 8 is still in beta, so we would need a FF 16 release in 2012 for this prediction.” on 2011-10-13
• Arets Paeglis estimated 40% on 2011-10-13
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2011-10-19
• Artis estimated 0% and said “Slikts” on 2011-11-07
• Artis estimated 0% on 2011-11-07
• Artis estimated 1% on 2011-11-07
• Artis estimated 0% on 2011-11-07
• Artis estimated 3% on 2011-11-07
• Artis estimated 0% on 2011-11-07
• stephenh estimated 75% and said “Firefox release schedule is a full release every 6 weeks, which means version 17 by end of 2012. Chrome has been able to keep to a similar schedule, so it doesn’t seem unlikely.” on 2011-11-10
• stephenh said “https://www.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/17.0.1/releasenotes/” on 2012-12-13
• stephenh   judged this prediction right on 2012-12-13.
• PseudonymousUser said “latest stable version at time of prediction was 7 (14 required); first stable in 2012 was 10 (20 required). Did slikts mean the first interpretation?” on 2012-12-14
• PseudonymousUser said “er, for the latter interpretation, Firefox enters 2012 with version 9 (from last year), so ver. 18 would be required. Which isn’t getting released this year.” on 2012-12-14