Google Knol will be shutdown in 2016

Created by gwern on 2011-10-13; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-11-22.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2011-10-13
• gwern said “I can’t really see Knol surviving intact until 2017, so not predicting past that” on 2011-10-13
• gwern said “this predictions are for http://www.gwern.net/Wikipedia%20and%20Knol#knol-death-watch” on 2011-10-13
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-11-22.