Google Knol will be shutdown in 2016
- gwern estimated 5% on 2011-10-13
- gwern said “I can’t really see Knol surviving intact until 2017, so not predicting past that” on 2011-10-13
- gwern said “this predictions are for http://www.gwern.net/Wikipedia%20and%20Knol#knol-death-watch” on 2011-10-13
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-11-22.
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