By 2035 there will be at least one confirmed person who has lived to 130.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-15; known on 2035-01-01; judged unknown by kuudes on 2016-12-21.

• JoshuaZ estimated 62% on 2011-10-15
• Isaac   judged this prediction right on 2011-10-17.
• Isaac   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-10-17.
• gwern estimated 5% on 2011-10-17
• Grognor estimated 6% on 2011-12-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2011-12-07
• gwern said “such a person is already 106” on 2011-12-07
• saturn estimated 1% on 2011-12-11
• kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-12-21.
• kuudes   judged this prediction unknown on 2016-12-21.
• kuudes said “Testing if there is a bug on predictionbook” on 2016-12-21
• kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-12-21.
• kuudes   judged this prediction unknown on 2016-12-21.
• pranomostro estimated 1% and said “Currently 113 or older.” on 2019-01-01