By 2035 there will be at least one confirmed person who has lived to 130.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-15; known on 2035-01-01; judged unknown by kuudes on 2016-12-21.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 62% on 2011-10-15
  • Isaac   judged this prediction right on 2011-10-17.
  • Isaac   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-10-17.
  • gwern estimated 5% on 2011-10-17
  • Grognor estimated 6% on 2011-12-06
  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2011-12-07
  • gwern said “such a person is already 106on 2011-12-07
  • saturn estimated 1% on 2011-12-11
  • kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-12-21.
  • kuudes   judged this prediction unknown on 2016-12-21.
  • kuudes said “Testing if there is a bug on predictionbookon 2016-12-21
  • kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-12-21.
  • kuudes   judged this prediction unknown on 2016-12-21.
  • pranomostro estimated 1% and said “Currently 113 or older.on 2019-01-01

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