By 2045 there will be at least one confirmed person who has lived to 140.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-15; known on 2045-01-01

• JoshuaZ estimated 38% on 2011-10-15
• gwern estimated 30% on 2011-10-17
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2011-12-07
• gwern estimated 25% and said “another 106er” on 2011-12-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 28% on 2011-12-07
• pranomostro estimated 5% and said “Currently 113 or older.” on 2019-01-01