By 2026 there will be at least one confirmed person who has lived to 125.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-15; known on 2026-01-01

• JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2011-10-15
• gwern estimated 10% on 2011-10-17
• fergus estimated 5% and said “This would require someone who is already 110 to live for another 15 years.” on 2011-10-22
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2011-12-07
• gwern estimated 5% on 2011-12-07
• pranomostro estimated 2% on 2019-01-01
• pranomostro said “Currently 116” on 2019-01-01