Reservatrol or a chemically similar compound will be an accepted anti-aging treatment in humans by 2019

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-17; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2019-01-01.

• JoshuaZ estimated 40% on 2011-10-17
• gwern estimated 5% and said “the research is looking very bad; right now they’re arguing whether resveratrol even does anything in the yeast or whether that was unrelated mutations in that strain!” on 2011-10-17
• JoshuaZ estimated 15% and said “Good point. Updating. ” on 2011-10-17
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 25% on 2011-10-19
• pranomostro estimated 5% on 2018-12-20
• Baeboo estimated 5% on 2018-12-21
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-01.