The U.S. economy will not be back to 6% or less unemployment until 2018.

Created by chemotaxis101 on 2011-10-18; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2015-03-07.

• chemotaxis101 estimated 55% on 2011-10-18
• gwern estimated 60% on 2011-10-18
• Isaac estimated 70% and said “Slow/gradual growth will be the result of this latest downturn.” on 2011-10-18
• JoshuaZ estimated 48% on 2011-10-18
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 55% on 2011-10-18
• Isaac estimated 80% on 2013-05-09
• RandomThinker estimated 45% on 2013-05-09
• Nithi estimated 70% on 2014-01-23
• co estimated 60% on 2014-01-23
• RandomThinker said “6.1 now, pretty close. ” on 2014-07-07
• RandomThinker said “5.5% now” on 2015-03-07
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-07.
• RandomThinker said “http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/07/upshot/the-new-jobs-report-shows-janet-yellens-dilemma-in-a-nutshell.html?ref=dealbook” on 2015-03-07