The discussion post http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/842/the_sciencearchist_manifesto/'s comment section will contain a flame war started by someone other than myself by the end of this Friday

Created by beo_shaffer on 2011-10-19; known on 2011-10-21; judged wrong by beo_shaffer on 2011-10-27.

• beo_shaffer estimated 70% on 2011-10-19
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2011-10-19
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 25% and said “What would constitute evidence of a flame war?” on 2011-10-20
• gwern said “looks kind of flamy…” on 2011-10-21
• JoshuaZ said “Eh, this is hard to rule. It looks flamy by LW standards but by the standards of the rest of the internet that’s a really civil conversation. ” on 2011-10-21
• Jayson Virissimo said “I think this should be judged by a non-LessWronger. Our standards for discourse are much higher than most Internet message boards.” on 2011-10-26
• beo_shaffer said “@Jayson that would probably be good. I think may have found someone that can do it.” on 2011-10-27
• beo_shaffer   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-10-27.
• beo_shaffer said “It was pretty close in my mind, but my outside friend labeled it a debate not flame war when asked if it contained a flame war so.” on 2011-10-27