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ROSAT will reenter by November 15

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-19; known on 2011-11-15; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-23.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 85% on 2011-10-19
  • gwern estimated 80% and said “if it doesn’t re-enter as the experts suggest, then that suggests to me the models are wrong, in which case Hofstadter’s Law may begin to apply…on 2011-10-19
  • Metus estimated 90% on 2011-10-22
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2011-10-23.