ROSAT will reenter by November 15
Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-19; known on 2011-11-15; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-23.
- JoshuaZ estimated 85% on 2011-10-19
- gwern estimated 80% and said “if it doesn’t re-enter as the experts suggest, then that suggests to me the models are wrong, in which case Hofstadter’s Law may begin to apply…” on 2011-10-19
- Metus estimated 90% on 2011-10-22
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction right on 2011-10-23.