Konkvistador has obstructive sleep apnea

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2011-10-21; known on 2013-10-21; judged wrong by Grognor on 2014-06-15.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 21% on 2011-10-21
• PseudonymousUser said “(and this is known within 2 years)” on 2011-10-21
• gwern estimated 25% and said “base rate for American adults: 20% Wikipedia says (!)” on 2011-10-22
• PseudonymousUser estimated 38% and said “updating with correct base rate” on 2011-10-22
• fergus estimated 20% on 2011-10-22
• Grognor   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-06-15.