econstudentlog.wordpress.com or its successor will cease to be updated

Created by gwern on 2011-10-23; known on 2021-10-23; judged wrong by gwern on 2021-10-23.

• gwern estimated 75% on 2011-10-23
• gwern said “began ~2006; however, author reads as a bit suicidal which adds a few percent (can’t update if you’re dead)” on 2011-10-23
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% and said “made it roughly halfway, but most blogs cease to be updated.” on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 40% and said “Still there.” on 2018-12-20
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-10-23.
• gwern said “Still there, although the updates are increasingly cursory and he has a software engineering job which sounds unpleasant so not surprised if it is abandoned in a few more years.” on 2021-10-23