In 2038 the population of the US will be 2 billion, none of them illegal. -Moldbug

Created by Konkvistador on 2011-10-24; known on 2039-01-01

  • Konkvistador estimated 3% on 2011-10-24
  • Konkvistador said “Source: http://unqualified-reservations.blogspot.com/2008/05/ol7-ugly-truth-about-government.html He is probably not serious. I think. I would be willing to go for 70% odds that it will be over 400 million. on 2011-10-24
  • Konkvistador said “I meant to say 500 million. 400 million plus my confidence is over 95%on 2011-10-24
  • gwern estimated 5% and said “does read like a rhetorical time-scaleon 2011-10-24
  • JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2011-10-24
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 1% on 2011-10-24
  • Robert Kosten estimated 99% and said “depending on the exact legalities in effect at the timeon 2011-10-25
  • Robert Kosten estimated 1% on 2011-10-25
  • lavalamp estimated 1% on 2011-11-10
  • ChristianKl estimated 2% on 2014-09-18
  • rebellionkid estimated 1% on 2014-09-18
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 5% on 2014-09-19
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2014-09-20
  • Konkvistador estimated 7% and said “Voices saying closed borders is moral equivalent of segregation (Caplan) and those saying it would be a good way to end global poverty (Time: How to Make the World’s Poor $500 Billion…) have been getting more positive attention and influence. on 2014-09-22
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “Even 500 million is far too high, even by 2050.on 2015-12-30
  • themusicgod1 estimated 3% and said “Where are these people going to come from? Robert Kosten? Anyone?on 2016-10-09

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