Dutch house prices as reported by cbs.nl will have fallen more than 3% year on year by September 2012

Created by dhoe on 2011-10-24; known on 2012-10-31; judged right by dhoe on 2012-10-24.

• dhoe estimated 70% on 2011-10-24
• gwern estimated 50% on 2011-10-24
• dhoe estimated 80% and said “It’s currently 4.4 year on year: http://www.cbs.nl/nl-NL/menu/themas/bouwen-wonen/publicaties/artikelen/archief/2012/2012-07-20-m11.htm” on 2012-08-10
• dhoe estimated 95% and said “It’s at 8% year on year. http://www.cbs.nl/nl-NL/menu/themas/bouwen-wonen/publicaties/artikelen/archief/2012/2012-08-21-m11.htm” on 2012-08-22
• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-08-22
• dhoe   judged this prediction right on 2012-10-24.
• dhoe said “Verdict: 7.9% as reported here: http://www.cbs.nl/nl-NL/menu/themas/bouwen-wonen/publicaties/artikelen/archief/2012/2012-10-22-m11.htm” on 2012-10-24