“Yingluck Shinawatra to depart as Prime Minister of Thailand before 1 January 2012” -ipredict

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-10-26; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 10% on 2011-10-26
• Jayson Virissimo said “https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=THAI.SHINA.12” on 2011-10-28
• gwern said “WP describes her as still PM” on 2012-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.