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At least one of my two Samsung HDDs will fail before 2013.

Created by muflax on 2011-10-26; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by muflax on 2014-01-01.

  • muflax estimated 20% on 2011-10-26
  • muflax said “2x SAMSUNG HD155UI, bought September 2011, one desktop HDD, one daily backup; I mistrust them because they’ve been a bit quirkyon 2011-10-26
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 15% on 2011-10-27
  • gwern estimated 25% and said “quirky makes me distrustful – hdds don’t fail that often, but given symptoms…on 2011-10-27
  • muflax   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-01-01.