At least one of my two Samsung HDDs will fail before 2013.

Created by muflax on 2011-10-26; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by muflax on 2014-01-01.

• muflax estimated 20% on 2011-10-26
• muflax said “2x SAMSUNG HD155UI, bought September 2011, one desktop HDD, one daily backup; I mistrust them because they’ve been a bit quirky” on 2011-10-26
• PseudonymousUser estimated 15% on 2011-10-27
• gwern estimated 25% and said “quirky makes me distrustful – hdds don’t fail that often, but given symptoms…” on 2011-10-27
• muflax   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-01-01.