Reddit: guy who signed birth certificate of another man's child will get sued for child support before 2013.
Created by muflax on 2011-10-30; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-07-01.
- muflax estimated 80% on 2011-10-30
- muflax said “reference: <http://www.reddit.com/r/AskReddit/comments/ltqzu/conclusion_my_brother_wants_to_sign_the_birth/>, provided we get an update of course” on 2011-10-30
- muflax said “other predictions: hal9005 10:1, archersparadox 25:1” on 2011-10-30
- gwern said “er… didn’t the dude not sign? http://www.reddit.com/r/AskReddit/comments/i3d0y/update_my_brother_and_his_dumb_idea_of_signing/” on 2011-10-30
- muflax said “According to the latest thread, he did. “TL;DR He signed it; I’m an aunt.”” on 2011-10-30
- PseudonymousUser estimated 12% on 2011-10-31
- JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2011-11-02
- muflax estimated 60% on 2011-12-31
- JoshuaZ said “Any updates/news on this front? ” on 2013-01-01
- muflax said “Nope. I’ll contact OP.” on 2013-01-01
- gwern said “no response, apparently, and nothing in the Reddit user’s contributions. marking wrong.” on 2013-07-01
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2013-07-01.