A complete functional simulation of the C. elegans nervous system will exist on 2020-01-01; 99.8% —David Dalrymple

Created by gwern on 2011-10-31; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2020-01-01.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2011-10-31
• gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/88g/whole_brain_emulation_looking_at_progress_on_c/54sn” on 2011-10-31
• JoshuaZ estimated 65% and said “Tags: [biology][technology][neuroscience]. ” on 2011-10-31
• chemotaxis101 estimated 85% on 2011-11-01
• TrE estimated 80% on 2011-11-02
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.