Next 3 Turing Award winners will be a subset of Shor/Herlihy/Stallman/Szegedy/Dally —kenjackson

Created by gwern on 2011-10-31; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2014-01-01.

• gwern estimated 35% on 2011-10-31
• gwern said “http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2305496” on 2011-10-31
• JoshuaZ estimated 30% on 2011-10-31
• JoshuaZ said “Micali and Goldwasser. Marking wrong.” on 2014-01-01
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-01-01.