My Introduction to Java deck will be the most downloaded Anki deck containing the word “Java” on 03-01-2012.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-02; known on 2012-03-01; judged wrong by muflax on 2012-03-03.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 75% on 2011-11-02
• gwern estimated 60% and said “pretty confident. aren’t there a bunch?” on 2011-11-02
• Jayson Virissimo said “there were only 3 last I checked” on 2011-11-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2011-11-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2011-11-02
• muflax estimated 70% and said “almost as many dls as 2nd best deck (406 vs 463) already, all competition is small and ancient, not sure about the time frame” on 2011-11-03
• PseudonymousUser estimated 65% on 2011-11-03
• muflax said “1087 dls vs. 2024 dls of leading deck” on 2012-03-03
• muflax   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-03.
• Jayson Virissimo said “Whoops; I intended to advertise my deck on various Java forums, but I must have forgotten.” on 2012-03-04