Gold will be $2000 by Jan 2012

Created by eduffy on 2011-11-03; known on 2012-01-16; judged wrong by faws on 2012-01-16.

• eduffy estimated 50% on 2011-11-03
• eduffy changed their prediction from “Goldwill be $2000 by Jan 2012” on 2011-11-03
• wifezilla estimated 95% on 2011-11-03
• JoshuaZ estimated 40% and said “I’m not sure by which price metric you want to use, but I suspect that it won’t happen for any of them. ” on 2011-11-03
• gwern estimated 50% on 2011-11-03
• Codyz estimated 35% on 2011-11-04
• Codyz said “Does this mean that gold will be $2000 or greater on the 1st, the 31st, or that it’s price will reach, but not necessarily remain at, $2000 by the 31st? ” on 2011-11-04
• tswift   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-11-04.
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-11-04.
• JoshuaZ said “tswift, you can’t know that now. It is possible to judge this prediction right before the deadline, but not wrong. ” on 2011-11-04
• Metus estimated 70% on 2011-11-11
• siscoking estimated 88% and said “looking at the upcoming conflict with iran quite possible” on 2012-01-05
• faws estimated 5% and said “Assuming “by Jan” means before the deadline. ” on 2012-01-07
• modulus estimated 25% and said “Eurozone could implode in the remaining days of the month, but otherwise, no way.” on 2012-01-09
• yahood estimated 1% on 2012-01-13
• faws   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-16.