The next wave of internet bubbles will be based around services that harvest, collate and compute “Human meta data”. Most of which will come from Smart phone and Social Networking data plus real time obscure meta data will come from human input.

Created by senectus on 2011-11-04; known on 2012-11-14; judged wrong by ygert on 2012-12-26.

• senectus estimated 90% on 2011-11-04
• senectus   judged this prediction right on 2011-11-04.
• gwern said “Why did you bother making this prediction if it was only for 10 days in the future and you didn’t even let it run that long?” on 2011-11-04
• mirror2mirror   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-11-05.
• mirror2mirror   judged this prediction right on 2011-11-05.
• mirror2mirror said “too bad i’ve got no money to invest :(” on 2011-11-05
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-11-05.
• senectus said “damn it.. I meant that to be 2012” on 2011-11-08
• JoshuaZ said “senectus, so click on “edit” and update the end date. ” on 2011-11-08
• senectus changed the deadline from “on 2011-11-14” and changed their prediction from “The next wave of internet bubbles will be based around services that harvest, collate and compute “Human meta data”. Most of which will come from Smart phone and Social Networking data plus real time obscure meta data will come from human input, mostly vi” on 2011-11-08
• senectus said “ha! It took me ages to find that… it’s not overly easy to spot.” on 2011-11-08
• gwern said “I’m not impressed so far by any social media, and many aren’t doing well recently. still think this is right?” on 2012-12-06
• RandomThinker said “the hype is certainly in this direction. This prediction is so vague though… not sure this is a “wave” or a “bubble” yet. ” on 2012-12-06
• ygert   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-26.