Greece will quit euro

Created by sucrenoir on 2011-11-04; known on 2011-11-19; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-11-19.

• sucrenoir estimated 75% on 2011-11-04
• Robert Kosten estimated 60% on 2011-11-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 48% on 2011-11-04
• gwern said “There are already a lot of Greece/euro predictions on PB, and did you really mean in just 14 days?” on 2011-11-04
• hackedtobits estimated 65% on 2011-11-04
• chemotaxis101 estimated 35% on 2011-11-05
• Katie Hartman estimated 18% on 2011-11-09
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 5% on 2011-11-10
• NathanMcKnight estimated 2% and said “If the Greek government even hints they might be thinking about going back to the drachma, they’ll see their economy collapse overnight. ” on 2011-11-12
• LOVERMAN estimated 60% on 2011-11-18
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-11-19.
• sucrenoir said “that was close :)” on 2012-07-02