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The US will have >4% yearly GDP growth, for more than 2 quarters, by Dec 31, 2014.

Created by annis on 2011-11-05; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2015-01-01.

  • annis estimated 80% on 2011-11-05
  • gwern estimated 20% and said “that would be pretty amazing. the last time US GDP hit >4% was 11 years ago in 2000 at the peak of the dot-com bubble.on 2011-11-05
  • Jayson Virissimo said “nominal or real?on 2011-11-07
  • faul_sname said “Are we talking about two consecutive quarters?on 2011-11-10
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-01.