The US will have >4% yearly GDP growth, for more than 2 quarters, by Dec 31, 2014.
Created by annis on 2011-11-05; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2015-01-01.
- annis estimated 80% on 2011-11-05
- gwern estimated 20% and said “that would be pretty amazing. the last time US GDP hit >4% was 11 years ago in 2000 at the peak of the dot-com bubble.” on 2011-11-05
- Jayson Virissimo said “nominal or real?” on 2011-11-07
- faul_sname said “Are we talking about two consecutive quarters?” on 2011-11-10
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-01.