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GJP: #1040 Will Aleksandr Lukashenko remain president of Belarus through 30 June 2012?

Created by gwern on 2011-11-08; known on 2012-07-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-07-01.

  • gwern estimated 90% on 2011-11-08
  • gwern said “he’s a dictator. only way he’s leaving is via the casket” on 2011-11-08
  • gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-14
  • chimpsky estimated 98% on 2012-06-09
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-07-01.