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GJP: #1037 Will Greece remain a member of the EU through 1 June 2012?

Created by gwern on 2011-11-08; known on 2012-06-02; judged right by gwern on 2012-06-02.

  • gwern estimated 40% on 2011-11-08
  • gwern said “will the EU kick out someone not on the euro? dunno.on 2011-11-08
  • gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-14
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-06-02.