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GJP: #1035 Will the United Nations Security Council pass a new resolution concerning Iran by 1 April 2012?

Created by gwern on 2011-11-08; known on 2012-04-02; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-04-03.

  • gwern estimated 20% on 2011-11-08
  • gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-14
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-04-03.