GJP: #1039 Will Bashar al-Assad remain President of Syria through 31 January 2012?

Created by gwern on 2011-11-08; known on 2012-02-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-02-01.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2011-11-08
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-14
• chemotaxis101 estimated 85% on 2012-01-28
• gwern said “still there, marking right” on 2012-02-01
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-02-01.