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GJP: #1033 Will the Tunisian Ennahda party officially announce the formation of an interim coalition government by 15 November 2011?

Created by gwern on 2011-11-08; known on 2011-11-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-11-20.

  • gwern estimated 65% on 2011-11-08
  • gwern made the prediction on 2011-11-20
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-11-20.