“Joe Paterno to announce his resignation before midnight ET 30 Nov 2011” —Intrade

Created by gwern on 2011-11-08; known on 2011-12-01; judged right by gwern on 2011-11-10.

• gwern estimated 60% on 2011-11-08
• gwern said “http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=753628 59.5%” on 2011-11-08
• gwern said “Paterno officially fired. well, intrade cashed out as resignation happening, so I guess I will mark this right” on 2011-11-10
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-11-10.