Stewart Alexis Alexander, of the Socialist Party USA, will receive less than 1% of the popular vote in the 2012 presidential election.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-10; known on 2012-11-07; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2012-11-08.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 95% on 2011-11-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 96% on 2011-11-10
• chemotaxis101 estimated 95% on 2011-11-10
• RobertLumley estimated 95% on 2011-11-10
• gwern estimated 80% and said “lot of anger out there. ross perot comes to mind as does nader.” on 2011-11-10
• Nic_Smith estimated 98% and said “Going with 98% instead of 99% because the current political situation is weird.” on 2011-11-11
• Anubhav estimated 90% on 2011-11-11
• lavalamp estimated 85% on 2011-11-11
• Anubhav said “(offtopic; but then there’s really no good place to discuss this) The links in the email notifications are broken for me and for JoshuaZ. Maybe this is a general problem? Jayson, please reach out to whoever can fix this. ” on 2011-11-12
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2012-11-08.