I will obtain Portuguese citizenship before 2015.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-10; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2015-01-01.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 5% on 2011-11-10
• chemotaxis101 estimated 10% and said “Boa sorte!” on 2011-11-10
• Jayson Virissimo said “Thanks” on 2011-11-10
• gwern estimated 7% and said “split the difference” on 2011-11-10
• Jayson Virissimo   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-01.