“Rupert Murdoch to announce departure as chairman of News Corporation before 2012” -ipredict

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-10; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 3% on 2011-11-10
• Jayson Virissimo said “https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=DEP.MURDOCH” on 2011-11-10
• gwern estimated 5% on 2011-11-10
• gwern said “see also intrade contract which I marked wrong” on 2012-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.