Eliezer Yudkowsky will make a prediction on PredictionBook before 2013.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-10; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 10% on 2011-11-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 25% on 2011-11-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2011-11-10
• chemotaxis101 estimated 15% on 2011-11-10
• gwern estimated 20% on 2011-11-10
• muflax estimated 15% on 2011-11-10
• Grognor estimated 25% on 2011-12-06
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 20% on 2012-01-02
• Jayson Virissimo said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/94k/new_years_prediction_thread_2012/5l2c” on 2012-01-02
• Anubhav estimated 15% on 2012-01-02
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.