Nassim Nicholas Taleb will make a prediction on PredictionBook before 2013.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-10; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 0% on 2011-11-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2011-11-10
• gwern estimated 1% on 2011-11-10
• muflax estimated 1% on 2011-11-10
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.