Anna Salamon will make a prediction on PredictionBook before 2013.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-10; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2013-01-09.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 33% on 2011-11-10
• gwern estimated 35% on 2011-11-10
• muflax estimated 30% on 2011-11-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2011-11-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 45% on 2011-11-10
• PseudonymousUser said “http://predictionbook.com/users/AnnaSalamon implies two private predictions. Were they made after 2011-11-10?” on 2013-01-01
• Tuxedage   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-01.
• Tuxedage said “I don’t think the date matters, only that it has to be before 2013. So this prediction is correct.” on 2013-01-02
• PseudonymousUser said ““will make” requires an action in the future; emailed Anna to find out when those two predictions (if they exist) were made” on 2013-01-03
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction unknown on 2013-01-03.
• PseudonymousUser said “Anna says they were all made in 2009” on 2013-01-09
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-09.