Anna Salamon will make a prediction on PredictionBook before 2013.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-10; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by bobpage on 2013-01-09.

  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 33% on 2011-11-10
  • gwern estimated 35% on 2011-11-10
  • muflax estimated 30% on 2011-11-10
  • JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2011-11-10
  • bobpage estimated 45% on 2011-11-10
  • bobpage said “http://predictionbook.com/users/AnnaSalamon implies two private predictions. Were they made after 2011-11-10?on 2013-01-01
  • Tuxedage   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-01.
  • Tuxedage said “I don’t think the date matters, only that it has to be before 2013. So this prediction is correct.on 2013-01-02
  • bobpage said ““will make” requires an action in the future; emailed Anna to find out when those two predictions (if they exist) were madeon 2013-01-03
  • bobpage   judged this prediction unknown on 2013-01-03.
  • bobpage said “Anna says they were all made in 2009on 2013-01-09
  • bobpage   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-09.

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