I will have read Godel, Escher, Bach by 18th November.
Created by Anubhav on 2011-11-11; known on 2011-11-18; judged right by Anubhav on 2011-11-17.
- Anubhav estimated 30% on 2011-11-11
- Anubhav estimated 10% on 2011-11-11
- gwern estimated 15% and said “it can be pretty addictive once you start if you’re the right person” on 2011-11-11
- NathanMcKnight estimated 10% and said “Great book, but unless you’re a speedreading math whiz, it’ll probably take you a while. ” on 2011-11-11
- Anubhav said “^ Why I revised downward. This looks to be a marathon rather than a sprint.” on 2011-11-12
- PseudonymousUser estimated 3% on 2011-11-12
- Anubhav said “By the end of November http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4314 ; By the end of 2011 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4315” on 2011-11-12
- ceterisparibus estimated 1% and said “From your own assessments.” on 2011-11-12
- Anubhav estimated 50% and said “Um, maybe I should mention that I’m reading this for ~8 hours a day. Anyway, a few chapters in, this feels sorta doable. ” on 2011-11-13
- Jach estimated 30% on 2011-11-14
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 45% on 2011-11-15
- Anubhav judged this prediction right on 2011-11-17.
- Anubhav said “That was close.Wasn’t quite the distilled awesomeness I was expecting, though. Maybe it felt more awesome 30 years ago? (I’m going to be murdered for saying that, aren’t I?)” on 2011-11-17
- NathanMcKnight said “Congrats! If you want the awesomeness to be more distilled, check out his more recent (and much shorter) work, “I Am A Strange Loop”.” on 2011-11-19
- gwern said “I’d recommend Le Ton de Beau Marot or Metamagical Themas over I am a strange loop which was terrible and maudlin” on 2011-11-19